ETH-USD & BTC-USD · Coinbase · Aug 2016 – Aug 2026

ETH Tail Atlas

Return distributions across sampling horizons. Pick the span (last 10 or 6 years) and the return interval (5-minute, hourly, or rolling 7-day). Each view is a fine-grained histogram on a log count scale with a maximum-likelihood Student-t fit, and its CDF below.

ETH

observed Student-t fit

BTC

observed Student-t fit

Source: Coinbase Exchange candles (5-minute and hourly closes, ten years per asset). Rolling 7-day windows step hourly and overlap, so their counts are window-hours, not independent weeks. Fit lines are bin-integrated expected counts from a maximum-likelihood Student-t (location, scale, and ν all fitted per view). Bins: 0.05% (5m), 0.1% (1h), 1% (1w). Generated by analysis/returns_matrix.py on branch analysis/eth-vol; page source lives at research/returns/.